2012年9月16日星期日

Silver Soars on Aggressive Fed Action




The silver market was volatile ahead of the FOMC meeting. Intraday silver prices made significant moves with the white metal bouncing above $34 and $32. Silver’s fluctuations were widely attributed to a battle between the confident and the second guessers. While some were willing to bet that QE3 was in the cards, others seized the opportunity to cash in on the profits. Still, silver managed to maintain a close over $33 each day.

Wednesday ended with silver down $0.17 at $33.31. For much of Thursday, the metal remained under pressure as selling continued. Then came the announcement of a surprisingly aggressive move from the Fed.

The Fed announced that under a new, open-ended program it will spend $40 billion per month buying mortgage-backed securities. Given the other programs currently in place — such as Operation Twist, which has been extended until the end of 2012 — the Fed will be spending about $85 billion per month on “longer-term securities” through to the end of the year.

Furthermore, the Fed announced, “[i]f the outlook of the labor market does not improve substantially, the Committee will continue its purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities, undertake additional asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate.”

The close

Another question of skepticism debated ahead of the announcement was whether QE3 would already be priced in. Thursday’s price action speaks for itself: the US floor session ended with December silver on the COMEX up $1.29 at $34.60. The New York spot price ended the day up $1.37 at $34.68.

The accommodative action also gave a boost to silver miners, whose stock prices did not perform overly well this week. Ahead of the announcement on Thursday there was a significant amount of red, but afterwards the bleeding largely stopped and most companies were in the green.

Company news

Apogee Silver (TSXV:APE) reported 86 percent silver recovery from a bulk sample taken from its Pulacayo development project in Bolivia.

“These bulk test results indicate a total silver recovery of 86.08% in lead and zinc concentrates and produced marketable lead and zinc concentrates with high silver grades,” states the company’s press release.china clay mining equipment Canada

Trevali Mining (TSX:TV,LMA:TV,OTCQX:TREVF,FWB:4TI) announced that construction at its Santander zinc-lead-silver mine in Peru is progressing, and commissioning is expected in the fourth quarter.

Based on current development schedules, Trevali anticipates that approximately 95,000 tonnes of mineralized material grading 5.61 percent zinc, 0.65 percent lead and 1.65 oz/t silver will be stockpiled and available for mill commissioning.

There will be a delay in Cream Minerals‘ (TSXV:CMA,OTCBB:CRMXF,FWB:DFL) filing of the NI 43-101 technical report for the updated mineral resource estimate for its Nuevo Milenio silver-gold project in Mexico.

The report was supposed to be filed by September 13, 2012, mining for chrome ore process plant in Canada but Dr. Derek McBride, who is preparing the report, has advised the company that he will not be able to deliver it by the deadline.

Orko Silver (TSXV:OK) commenced a field exploration program at its La Preciosa silver-gold project in Mexico.

Rainbow Resources (TSXV:RBW,OTCQX:RIINF) is now trading on the highest over-the-counter marketplace: the OTCQX.

Gold Pushes Higher on QE3



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US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke ended weeks of speculation about the prospect of further monetary stimulus for the United States economy, announcing on Thursday a third round of quantitative easing (QE3).

The Fed said it will start buying $40 billion worth of mortgage debt each month, starting this Friday, as it seeks to boost economic growth and reduce unemployment.

The market’s reaction was swift and overwhelmingly positive, especially for precious metals, which act as a hedge against the inflationary pressure brought about by QE measures, which increase money supply. Gold for December delivery rocketed to a seven-month high of $1,775 an ounce — $240 higher than a 2012 low reached in May. Before the announcement, December gold futures were at $1,727.40, a difference of $47.60. Spot gold reached a high of $1,770.10 before slipping back slightly to close the trading day at $1,767.20 per ounce.

Silver also had a dramatic spike, heading over a dollar higher to $34.46 within minutes of the announcement, against the $33.31/oz spot price close on Wednesday.

Major gold producers enjoyed a significant lift in their stock prices. The NYSE Arca gold producer index rose 4.1 percent, its highest level since February. Goldcorp (NYSE:GG,TSX:G) climbed 5.4 percent to close at $45.41 in New York on double average trading volumes. Number one gold producer Barrick (NYSE:ABX,TSX:ABX) was up 4.8 percent, Yamana Gold (NYSE:AUY,TSX:YRI,LSE:YAU) leapt 6 percent and Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) vaulted 5.5 percent.

Issuing a statement at the end of a two-day meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee said it will continue to purchase mortgage-backed securities as long as the labor market does not substantially improve. Bernanke has called the US employment rate, stuck above 8 percent since February, “a grave concern.”

The Fed also said it will extend low interest rates until the middle of 2015 and will continue Operation Twist, a program that involves the Fed swapping $667 billion of short-term debt with longer-term securities in order to lengthen the average maturity of its holdings.

So how high could gold go? Kitco quotes Frank Lesh, a trader and futures analyst at FuturePath Trading, as saying that the Fed move, being inflationary, “is supportive for the gold market” and could keep gold rallying for a while. However, Lesh also believes profit taking could occur soon now that the highly-anticipated QE3, along with the European Central Bank bond purchases announced last week, has occurred.

“There’s been a lot of money made in gold recently. People will take their profits on the move. There will be a pullback at some point. It’s always hard to say exactly when that happens, but it will happen,” Lesh said.

jaw stone crusher design Philippines Labor unrest continues at Gold Fields mine

Labor unrest continues at Gold Fields’ (NYSE:GFI) KDC gold mine in South Africa, with operations suspended due to “an unlawful and unprotected strike” started on Sunday night by the company’s roughly 15,000 employees. The east section of the mine, which was on strike last week, was operating normally, the company said in a press release. The workers are demanding the removal of their local union leadership and are asking for tax-free bonuses, The Australian reported. The prospect of strikes crippling the South African mining sector, which accounts for 20 percent of GDP, was apparent this week with a strike at Lonmin now dragging on for a month and just a handful of platinum miners turning up for work on Monday. The strike turned ugly last month when police fired on workers, killing 34, in what is surely one of the bloodiest incidents in the country since the apartheid era.

China imported more gold this year than ECB

Those who theorize that the Chinese yuan could replace the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency had more credence added to their argument this week with a record amount of gold being imported into the country via Hong Kong. Zero Hedge reported that year to date, China has imported more gold than the European Central Bank’s 502.1 tons of bullion holdings.

Significantly, Zero Hedge notes that for the first time in history, China has imported twice as much gold as it has “imported” [meaning purchased] US Treasuries. That, combined with strong demand for the yuan and less demand for the dollar due to China’s resiliency to the financial crisis compared to the United States, makes a strong case for the idea that the yuan, backed by gold, will replace the dollar. “The financial crisis that started in 2008 has provided China with a good opportunity to promote the yuan as a global currency,” according to the deputy director of the Chinese central bank quoted by Zero Hedge.

Meanwhile, in Russia suspicion that President Vladimir Putin is seeking to use gold as an alternative currency rose after the World Gold Council reported that Russia has doubled its gold reserves over the past five years. Gold purchases by the federation have exceeded 500 tonnes, the largest increase in central bank gold reserves, leading to speculation about how the widely distrusted Putin plans to use the stockpile.

Company news

Great Basin Gold (AMEX:GBG,TSX:GBG) suspended operations Tuesday at its Burnstone mine near Balfour due to an “inability to continue funding the working capital required by Burnstone to achieve cash flow breakeven,” the company stated. Burnstone is seeking an estimated $30 to $40 million in shutdown costs along with $1.2 million per month for care and maintenance.

British miner Cluff Gold (LSE:CLF) said on Wednesday that it has signed an agreement with Samsung Construction & Trading (C&T), whereby the Korean conglomerate will provide US$20 million in funding in exchange for access to Cluff’s gold supply. Samsung will buy gold from Cluff’s mine in Burkina Faso at a 2.25 percent discount to the gold price on the day before delivery.

Onexim Group, which indirectly controls about 37 percent of Polyus Gold International, Russia’s largest gold miner, is rumored to be selling its stake in the company. ”Onexim … confirms that it is in preliminary discussions, regarding a possible sale of some, or all, of its interest in Polyus Gold, with two potential purchasers in respect of an interest of less than 20 percent each in Polyus Gold,” Onexim, run by Russian tycoon Mikhail Prokhorov, said in an email to Reuters.

Junior company news
Helio Resource (TSXV:HRC) released a preliminary economic assessment for three targets at its SMP gold project in Tanzania. The PEA allows for a base case of 500,000 ounces production with a net present value of US$85.7 million, or an upside outcome of 800,000 ounces (NPV of $146.1 million) if a 55-degree pit wall angle is viable. An earlier estimate shows 1.02 million ounces of gold in the measured and indicated category and 240,000 ounces inferred. Helio closed up 28.5 percent on Thursday. placer gold processing mobile plant Canada

Adventure Gold (TSXV:AGE) doubled its land position by acquiring 51 claims near its Val-D’Or East project in Northwestern Quebec, Canada. ”With this acquisition, Adventure Gold secures a very strategic and prospective land position adjacent to the Company’s flagship Pascalis-Colombiere property where we are currently discovering and defining new gold resources around the former Beliveau gold mine,” the company stated on Wednesday.

Paramount Gold and Silver’s (TSX:PZG,NYSE:PZG) Sleeper gold project in Nevada could produce an annual 172,000 ounces of gold and 263,000 ounces of silver, according to the final PEA filed on the project. The report concludes that the open-pit, heap-leach operation would process 81,000 tonnes per day for a minelife of 17 years, with total life-of-mine capital costs estimated at $688 million. Paramount is focused on developing its assets in Nevada and Mexico.

Federal Reserve in the Spotlight




copper ore crusher for Philippines Commodities ended the week higher, adding to last week’s gains after the US Federal Reserve announced on Thursday that it will undertake a third round of quantitative easing. The move was widely expected, especially in the wake of a recent weak jobs report out of the US. It also comes on the heels of the European Central Bank’s bond-buying plan, which was announced September 6.

The Fed now aims to spur US economic growth by purchasing $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities a month from commercial banks. It will continue these purchases until the US labor market shows signs of improvement. Moreover, to encourage businesses and consumers to increase spending, the bank indicated that it will keep interest rates low for the longer term.

In its statement, the Fed said, “the Committee also decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate are likely to be warranted at least through mid-2015.”

Stock markets also moved higher on the news, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average surging 206.51 points on Thursday to close at 13,539.86.

The Fed’s move is also drawing a lot of attention because it comes in the runup to the November presidential election. The sputtering US economy is seen as a threat to President Obama’s re-election chances, and Republican candidate Mitt Romney, who favors replacing current Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke when his term is up in early 2014, has said he feels further quantitative easing won’t do much good.

In morning trade Friday, Brent crude is up 1.21 percent at $117.82 a barrel, while copper is up 3.4 percent at $3.84 a pound. Gold is up 0.15 percent at $1,774.70 an ounce.

Gold

Gold soared to a seven-month high on Thursday in the wake of the Fed’s announcement. The yellow metal closed at $1,770 an ounce for a gain of 4 percent in the past week.

Meanwhile, labor unrest in South Africa has spread to the country’s gold sector. On Sunday, 15,000 Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) workers walked off the job, shutting down the company’s KDC West mine. The illegal strike is now costing Gold Fields 1,400 ounces of production a day.

The striking miners are affiliated with the National Union of Mineworkers. Their demands include the removal of the union’s leadership at the mine and a pay increase to 12,500 rand (US$1,560) a month. In a September 10 press release, Peter Turner, executive vice president and head of Gold Fields’ South African region, called for calm and said the company is talking to the strikers. “It is important that we restore normality in a peaceful manner and as soon as possible,” he said.

small rock crusher Helio Resource (TSXV:HRC) received a preliminary economic assessment for its SMP gold project in Tanzania. The report consists of both a base and an upside case (the latter requires confirmation that the surrounding rock can support a pit wall at a 55 degree angle). The base case envisions a mine producing a total of 510,000 ounces of gold over a nine-year mine life. Under the upside case, that jumps to 803,000 ounces over 10 years.

Oil and gas

The Fed’s move also spurred oil prices to four-month highs. However, inventories in the United States unexpectedly rose. The US government’s Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday that the country’s crude oil stockpiles increased by 2 million barrels, to 359.1 million barrels, in the week ending September 7.

Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK,TSXV:CKG), the second-largest natural gas producer in the US, sold most of its assets in the Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico to Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A,LSE:RDSA) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX) for $6.9 billion. In the second quarter of 2012, these properties produced about 21,000 barrels of natural gas liquids and 90 million cubic feet of gas per day.

The company has struggled due to low gas prices. As well, its CEO, Aubrey McClendon, has been accused of conflicts of interest surrounding personal loans that he took out. Chesapeake has also faced allegations of collusion with regard to property sales in Michigan in 2009 and 2010. The company will use the cash from the sales to fund its operations and pay down debt.

Copper

The red metal also reached new highs on the Fed’s announcement. COMEX copper rose to a level not seen in four months, and on the London Metal Exchange, copper rose to $8,200.50 after hours on Thursday — its highest level since May 8.

Nevada Copper (TSX:NCU) reported positive results from the latest drilling at its wholly-owned Pumpkin Hollow property in Nevada. Hole NC12-34 targeted the expansion of the main mineralized zone and intersected 690 feet grading 1.17 percent copper, 0.085 grams per tonne of gold and 3.6 grams per tonne of silver. The company says mineralization still remains open in several directions.

Nevada is now working on a feasibility study for Pumpkin Hollow, which contains a measured and indicated resource estimated at 6.8 billion pounds of copper, 1.6 million ounces of gold, 42 million ounces of silver and 129 million tonnes of iron. The company plans to release the study in October 2012.

VMS Ventures (TSXV:VMS) said work on its Reed copper project in Manitoba, Canada, is proceeding on time and on budget. The company owns 30 percent of Reed; rock crushing equipment for sale Hudbay Minerals (TSX:HBM,NYSE:HBM) owns the rest.

The company expects to begin mining at the site in the fourth quarter of 2013, with production ramping up to its full capacity of about 1,300 tonnes per day by the first quarter of 2014.